November 03, 2024 | Subscriber Exclusive | Dear reader, Welcome to the Premium Report! As a subscriber, you have exclusive access to our premium content. Our editorial team digs deep to present you with facts that matter, providing a unique perspective on the issues shaping our world. Meanwhile, our designers format it for you into a beautifully curated layout. We hope you enjoy it. | | Why Many Young Men Are Backing Trump | A week out from the presidential election, there are warning signs for Democrats among the crucial voting bloc, which has historically been split about 50–50. | Republican presidential candidate and former President Donald Trump interacts with supporters at a campaign rally at Mullet Arena in Tempe, Ariz., on Oct. 24, 2024. (Rebecca Noble/AFP via Getty Images) | Former President Donald Trump has made gains with many demographics since his first presidential bid in 2016. This time, he's hoping to add votes from a new demographic: young men. There are signs that the bloc could break for Trump in 2024, which could spell trouble for Vice President Kamala Harris in what is shaping up to be a tight race. As signs of this shift have become more apparent, both parties have sought to reach out to the group. Trump made a three-hour appearance on "The Joe Rogan Experience" on Oct. 25, a podcast popular with younger Americans, especially men. According to data from Media Monitors, 71 percent of Rogan's audience is male, with an average age of 24. In past cycles, Republican presidential nominees haven't spent much time courting the youth—voters aged 30 and older have historically been far more favorable to the GOP than their younger counterparts, who have skewed more liberal. In 2020, for instance, President Joe Biden vastly outperformed Trump in support among young voters. According to national exit polling by CNN, Biden received 60 percent support among 18- to 29-year-old voters, and 52 percent support among 30- to 44-year-old voters. But those top-line numbers hide a more polarized environment among young voters: Young women are much more Democratic in their voting patterns, while young men have historically been split about 50–50. This election, Trump may be on track to significantly improve his support among younger voters, particularly those aged 18 to 44—a trend driven by men moving to the Republican Party under Trump. "What you can see over the three cycles [from 2016 to 2024] is a general rightward shift in younger voters," Mark Mitchell, chief of polling firm Rasmussen, told The Epoch Times. | Trump supporters cheer as the former president arrives to speak at a campaign event in Racine, Wis., on June 18, 2024. (Jim Watson/AFP via Getty Images) | About two dozen young men who spoke to The Epoch Times across the United States cited economics as their biggest issue in the election, mentioning housing, tax rates, and inflation as their most pressing concerns. Several indicated they were drawn to Trump's masculine persona—a persona that often has the opposite effect on young women. Others say they've been left behind by Democrats, suggesting the party focuses too much on issues, such as abortion, that affect men less; others feel villainized by left-wing ideology. Mitchell said that Rasmussen's current polling has Trump leading Harris 47 to 46 percent among 18- to 39-year-old men. Women in the same age bracket, meanwhile, prefer Harris 48 to 44 percent. A New York Times/Siena national poll that concluded on Oct. 23 also found modest gains for Republicans among youth and men. The pollsters have substantially overestimated Democratic support in the past. Their most recent poll found that Democrats have lost about 4 points of support among men of all ages when compared to 2020, while Trump has gained about 2 points. The poll also showed substantial improvements for Trump with young voters, winning 7 percent more support among 18- to 29-year-olds than he did in 2020. Party strategists and voters on the ground have noticed the trend, too: Republicans have sought to capitalize on it while Democrats have sought to reverse it. Charles Bullock, a political science professor at the University of Georgia, said that dwindling support among young men is a legitimate concern for the Democratic Party this year. "It is a big problem for them, potentially," he said. "They've counted on getting the very young voters. They don't? Problem." | Supporters cheer as Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris speaks during a campaign rally in Ann Arbor, Mich., on Oct. 28, 2024. (Brandon Bell/Getty Images) | Economic Anxiety When speaking to young male voters, one issue comes up again and again: the economy. Young men are anxious about the future—they express fears about housing, frustration over grocery and fuel prices, and concerns about the general economic trajectory of the country. Many feel the economy was simply better under Trump. Eighteen-year-old Caleb Boyt told The Epoch Times that Trump seems to offer the best economic future for him. "Being a young man in America, I feel like [Trump] sets me up in the best possible way, whether that be me just entering the workforce or being able to afford things and save up my money better," he said. Experts told The Epoch Times that economics generally feel more pressing to men: Despite the broad social changes since the 20th century, many men still feel obligated to be the primary breadwinner and to provide for their spouses and children. Women are also far more likely to go to college than men. Bullock noted that around 60 percent of new college enrollees today are women. Meanwhile, job prospects for men have dwindled with the mass departure of solid blue-collar employment to cheaper labor markets overseas. "The success that a young man could have had a generation or two ago—completing high school, or maybe you drop out of high school, but you could get a pretty good paying job, go to work in a factory somewhere, and you [could] support a family," Bullock said. "That scenario is less applicable today." | Caleb Boyt and his friend Ty Rowland (L), both 18, pose for a photo in Zebulon, Ga., on Oct. 23, 2024. Boyt said that Trump offers the best economic future for him. (Stacy Robinson/The Epoch Times) | The young women who spoke to The Epoch Times were far less likely to mention the economy as a leading issue, instead focusing on abortion or Trump's personality. Sarah Chamberlain, president and chief executive of The Republican Main Street Partnership, a moderate Republican political organization, focuses on trends among women. She told The Epoch Times that many young women bank on being able to find a partner who can provide for them, while men generally prefer to be the main provider. "I think women have the luxury to worry about other things," Chamberlain said. Thus, abortion and candidate personalities are more compelling and pressing issues for women, Chamberlain said. Men, by contrast, tend to assume that they'll be primarily responsible for providing for a wife and family, Chamberlain said, leading to increased economic pressure on them from a young age. That aligns with what The Epoch Times observed: Young men consistently listed economic concerns as their biggest issue with few exceptions, regardless of which candidate they were backing. Some cited the ability to provide for a family in the future as a leading concern for them. Nazir Mbami, a black voter who will turn 18 shortly before the election and plans on supporting Trump, told The Epoch Times during a Trump event in Lancaster, Pennsylvania, that the border and the economy were his top priorities... | Subscribe to The Epoch Times to read the rest. Become a paying subscriber of The Epoch Times to get access to
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